I agree, but with the second ruleset (as far as I can tell) [0] is actually not 1, it is greater than 1. After running 100k simulations, we're getting that you get land on that space ~1.145... times. I'll check my math again tomorrow to see what that calculation actually would be, but my instinct is that you're mostly right. I don't usually do probability stuff, so thanks for the advice!

This also isn't something I wrote, so I'm not 100% sure what the goal is. Add a fork and try it for yourself if you like!